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Wind
Jan 2, 2022 13:47:18 GMT 12
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Post by Fogg on Jan 2, 2022 13:47:18 GMT 12
Is it me or does the wind seem to be consistently 5-10kts higher than the forecast for the last 2-3 weeks?
If I recall this seems to be a pattern at this time of year?
Is the weather (wind) just harder to forecast in early summer or is it because they senior meteos are on holiday and the interns are left issuing the forecasts?
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Deleted
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Wind
Jan 2, 2022 14:34:58 GMT 12
Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2022 14:34:58 GMT 12
happened to be down devonport wharf,was suppose to be e 10 knts but at 9.0am out going tide easy 15knt,so went to shelter of Stanley bay.But at home we would 18+ at times ne and 28c indoors. Beer time??
Easterly 15 knots, rising to 20 knots for a time this afternoon and early evening. Sea becoming moderate for a time this afternoon and early evening. Fine.
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Deleted
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Wind
Jan 2, 2022 16:49:02 GMT 12
Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2022 16:49:02 GMT 12
Is it me or does the wind seem to be consistently 5-10kts higher than the forecast for the last 2-3 weeks? If I recall this seems to be a pattern at this time of year? Is the weather (wind) just harder to forecast in early summer or is it because they senior meteos are on holiday and the interns are left issuing the forecasts? You could be reading Knots on Windy as KMH? |
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Wind
Jan 2, 2022 17:05:38 GMT 12
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Post by Fogg on Jan 2, 2022 17:05:38 GMT 12
Is it me or does the wind seem to be consistently 5-10kts higher than the forecast for the last 2-3 weeks? If I recall this seems to be a pattern at this time of year? Is the weather (wind) just harder to forecast in early summer or is it because they senior meteos are on holiday and the interns are left issuing the forecasts? You could be reading Knots on Windy as KMH? I’m looking at knots everywhere. Just had a beer with some experienced sailing friends - who avoid going out at peak times - and they agree. In fact they also have a runabout for fishing for when sailing days no good and they agreed it’s been 5-10kts over forecast for the last 6 weeks (both NE and SW). |
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Wind
Jan 2, 2022 20:48:22 GMT 12
Post by ComfortZone on Jan 2, 2022 20:48:22 GMT 12
all I can add is the strong wind warning for the Bream Head to Cape Colville area for the last few days has been entirely accurate as far as the Barrier has been concerned - been honking out here the last few days!
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 7:02:11 GMT 12
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Post by Fogg on Jan 3, 2022 7:02:11 GMT 12
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 7:05:36 GMT 12
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Post by Fogg on Jan 3, 2022 7:05:36 GMT 12
The same sailing friends had a retired ex Metservice friend who admitted that between Labour weekend and Easter they err on the side of caution with the marine forecast given they know there will be a large number of small boats out around Auckland / Northland.
But this seems to be the other way around ie regularly under-forecasting wind strength by about 30-50% for the last 4-6 weeks eg a 20kts forecast regularly turning out to be blowing steady 30kts.
Next time I see it I’ll post example…
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 7:44:06 GMT 12
Post by armchairadmiral on Jan 3, 2022 7:44:06 GMT 12
Long ago quit NIWA forecasts. Hugely unreliable ,except they usually get night & day right, NIWA just bought a new computer so that will be good .Yeah right. It'll date me a bit but remember the days when the lighthouse keepers looked up in the sky? One on Cuvier in the 80's was a cracker plus if he said it was blowing in the Colville Channel,it was. Alongside Channel one night with now cast broadcasting 20 / 25 as we ambled by in a lovely 10 / 12. Yep ..technology is a great help ?
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 8:23:28 GMT 12
Post by Fogg on Jan 3, 2022 8:23:28 GMT 12
Talking of wind nobody has mentioned this depression off the Queensland coast but it looks like it has potential to cause some mischief in a few days time?  |
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 10:17:59 GMT 12
Post by Deleted on Jan 3, 2022 10:17:59 GMT 12
If you play it out in windy it's not going anywhere . The one out east is doing bugger all. If you want accurate wind use the "reported wind " option in menu settings. This is Thursday 1pm.  |
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Wind
Jan 3, 2022 19:42:09 GMT 12
Post by ComfortZone on Jan 3, 2022 19:42:09 GMT 12
Talking of wind nobody has mentioned this depression off the Queensland coast but it looks like it has potential to cause some mischief in a few days time? <button disabled="" class="c-attachment-insert--linked o-btn--sm">Attachment Deleted</button> I was talking to a mate last night who lives on the Gold Coast. Says it is bucketing down and the low is expected to move west which means it will turn into a rain bearing depression and dump big time on QLD, so they are expecting lots of flooding |
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