Post by fish on Mar 8, 2022 10:50:15 GMT 12
I have an idea, it is mildly complex to explain, but I think a simple proposition once you understand it.
I'm keen to test the logic out on the forum for some 'constructive feedback' and see if its got legs.
Latest Roymorgan poll has National/Act NZ (49.5%) now leads Labour/Greens (43%) by 6.5% points, but Labour will till have more seats, and govern. Why? The Maori seats.
National wont contest the Maori seats because they are fundamentally opposed to them. Labour get 7 seats for free.
Labour is reliant on the Moari seats for power. This is why Labour are wholly embracing the transfer of power to tribal elite. Health restructure, 3 waters, Huaraki Gulf, Auckland Regional Parks, and I'm sure several others I've missed.
National and Act can poll higher, but the polls don't account for Labour's 7 seat head start.
National wont tackle the race issue, Luxon is going for the very boring and well tested 'taxes' thing. ACT wont touch the race issue, they have policies I agree with on some things, but wont upset the status quo - Seymour is not pushing any advantage at the moment.
My proposal is to join the Maori roll myself, and vote counter to Labour. This would give my vote the maximum leverage to achieve my voting intentions.
Further explainer, I live in the Rodney ward, and Tai Tokerou. Mark Mitchell is the incumbent in Rodney, and wins by I think 16,000 votes (or a large majority anyway). Voting for him, or against him is waisted. The races in Tai Tokerou are far closer. My vote would have a greater impact there. Still get to vote for the party vote.
My voting intentions is to get Labour out, and to have a party I agree with have some influence in Parliament. Noting I voted Labour the last two elections. My sincere apologies for that.
What say you?
www.roymorgan.com/findings/8912-nz-national-voting-intention-february-2022-202203070501
I'm keen to test the logic out on the forum for some 'constructive feedback' and see if its got legs.
Latest Roymorgan poll has National/Act NZ (49.5%) now leads Labour/Greens (43%) by 6.5% points, but Labour will till have more seats, and govern. Why? The Maori seats.
National wont contest the Maori seats because they are fundamentally opposed to them. Labour get 7 seats for free.
Labour is reliant on the Moari seats for power. This is why Labour are wholly embracing the transfer of power to tribal elite. Health restructure, 3 waters, Huaraki Gulf, Auckland Regional Parks, and I'm sure several others I've missed.
National and Act can poll higher, but the polls don't account for Labour's 7 seat head start.
National wont tackle the race issue, Luxon is going for the very boring and well tested 'taxes' thing. ACT wont touch the race issue, they have policies I agree with on some things, but wont upset the status quo - Seymour is not pushing any advantage at the moment.
My proposal is to join the Maori roll myself, and vote counter to Labour. This would give my vote the maximum leverage to achieve my voting intentions.
Further explainer, I live in the Rodney ward, and Tai Tokerou. Mark Mitchell is the incumbent in Rodney, and wins by I think 16,000 votes (or a large majority anyway). Voting for him, or against him is waisted. The races in Tai Tokerou are far closer. My vote would have a greater impact there. Still get to vote for the party vote.
My voting intentions is to get Labour out, and to have a party I agree with have some influence in Parliament. Noting I voted Labour the last two elections. My sincere apologies for that.
What say you?
www.roymorgan.com/findings/8912-nz-national-voting-intention-february-2022-202203070501
