Post by eri on Jul 6, 2024 12:46:43 GMT 12
interesting article on the uk election result by Hayden Munro, campaign manager for New Zealand Labour in 2020 and 2023.
some take-outs that nz labour will be keenly aware of
YouGov polling at the start of the campaign showed that the public thinks that on almost every metric
- from the economy to infrastructure to housing to crime
- things are worse than before the Tories took office.
is this a victory that Labour and Keir Starmer actually earned, or was it one that fell in their lap as Rishi Sunak and his party self-destructed?
The answer is that Labour were only in a position to benefit from the Conservatives’ collapse because they had done the work to change.
A poll in the final week of the campaign showed that if voters were asked to pick today between (hard left) Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour and Boris Johnson’s Conservatives,
even after everything that has happened, the Conservatives would still win.
Starmer’s victory has been built on winning back the Brexit supporting working class voters who dominate the swing seats of Middle England.
The type of voters who have historically been the reliable electoral base for Labour parties - but who have drifted away in recent years and who are prone to supporting right-wing populists instead.
These are the voters that people like Donald Trump, Boris Johnson and Marine Le Pen court so effectively.
Starmer has made a very concrete policy pitch to these voters - focussed on fixing the NHS, creating jobs, building new homes, hiring more police and keeping the economy stable after years of chaos.
Starmer must now hope his government can deliver the practical improvements in people’s lives he has promised - and that he can be successful in raising the standards in Westminster.
If he can do that, he will have given other progressive parties around the world a playbook for winning back, and holding, the support of voters who have left them.
www.thepost.co.nz/nz-news/350333657/what-doomed-conservatives-insiders-view/?utm_source=stuff_article&utm_medium=referral
as i see it
the lessons nz labour need to take from this are
- the jeremy corbyn lesson is that they'll have to at least appear to distance themselves from the hard left greens and racist maori party .........voters can't see anything but MORE chaos, blown-out spending and downward drift with them in gov.
- it was all very well bribing winstone to get gov. in 2017, but their failure to deliver will be remembered by nz voters until they actually go into elections with; workable, costed, funded, popular policies..........uk labour didn't need them this election as the torys had expired
- the 2026 election is probably too soon for nz labour to get organised enough to appear viable, and chippy won't last 2 failed elections, so they better start looking and VETTING possible successors, just being female(liz truss) or not white(richie sunak) wasn't enough to balance the torys' lackluster performance, voters are now blase about diversity, they want constructive competence..... (as opposed to chippy's minister of everything failing in nz)
- labour nz need to start building competence now, not only to look viable in 2026, in case luxton's national implodes, but because competency takes years and years to develop, as shown by starmer's slow but steady rise
www.nzherald.co.nz/world/uk-election-the-intriguing-real-life-story-of-keir-starmer-uks-next-prime-minister/EFWLVVQU7FGMLAD6RUFNDHDIV4/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR0vSjcilwgfZlEeZ9vsuPALvMtepEEzM-pjocPf5EmDZMKAh1kxo4-l76Y_aem_TC0kaiP5f48Sk9r58O1A1Q
- a competent leader is the best possible start, but it won't be enough if they're not surrounded by trusted people, equally as competent
some take-outs that nz labour will be keenly aware of
YouGov polling at the start of the campaign showed that the public thinks that on almost every metric
- from the economy to infrastructure to housing to crime
- things are worse than before the Tories took office.
is this a victory that Labour and Keir Starmer actually earned, or was it one that fell in their lap as Rishi Sunak and his party self-destructed?
The answer is that Labour were only in a position to benefit from the Conservatives’ collapse because they had done the work to change.
A poll in the final week of the campaign showed that if voters were asked to pick today between (hard left) Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour and Boris Johnson’s Conservatives,
even after everything that has happened, the Conservatives would still win.
Starmer’s victory has been built on winning back the Brexit supporting working class voters who dominate the swing seats of Middle England.
The type of voters who have historically been the reliable electoral base for Labour parties - but who have drifted away in recent years and who are prone to supporting right-wing populists instead.
These are the voters that people like Donald Trump, Boris Johnson and Marine Le Pen court so effectively.
Starmer has made a very concrete policy pitch to these voters - focussed on fixing the NHS, creating jobs, building new homes, hiring more police and keeping the economy stable after years of chaos.
Starmer must now hope his government can deliver the practical improvements in people’s lives he has promised - and that he can be successful in raising the standards in Westminster.
If he can do that, he will have given other progressive parties around the world a playbook for winning back, and holding, the support of voters who have left them.
www.thepost.co.nz/nz-news/350333657/what-doomed-conservatives-insiders-view/?utm_source=stuff_article&utm_medium=referral
as i see it
the lessons nz labour need to take from this are
- the jeremy corbyn lesson is that they'll have to at least appear to distance themselves from the hard left greens and racist maori party .........voters can't see anything but MORE chaos, blown-out spending and downward drift with them in gov.
- it was all very well bribing winstone to get gov. in 2017, but their failure to deliver will be remembered by nz voters until they actually go into elections with; workable, costed, funded, popular policies..........uk labour didn't need them this election as the torys had expired
- the 2026 election is probably too soon for nz labour to get organised enough to appear viable, and chippy won't last 2 failed elections, so they better start looking and VETTING possible successors, just being female(liz truss) or not white(richie sunak) wasn't enough to balance the torys' lackluster performance, voters are now blase about diversity, they want constructive competence..... (as opposed to chippy's minister of everything failing in nz)
- labour nz need to start building competence now, not only to look viable in 2026, in case luxton's national implodes, but because competency takes years and years to develop, as shown by starmer's slow but steady rise
www.nzherald.co.nz/world/uk-election-the-intriguing-real-life-story-of-keir-starmer-uks-next-prime-minister/EFWLVVQU7FGMLAD6RUFNDHDIV4/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR0vSjcilwgfZlEeZ9vsuPALvMtepEEzM-pjocPf5EmDZMKAh1kxo4-l76Y_aem_TC0kaiP5f48Sk9r58O1A1Q
- a competent leader is the best possible start, but it won't be enough if they're not surrounded by trusted people, equally as competent
